Secondary Handicapping Factors

  • Thoroughbred Horse Racing at The Great Race Place

    We view the Secondary Handicapping Factors as those which are beyond the horse's control.

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    The Anatomy of a Thoroughbred Horse Race

    Level of Competition

    Since every competent handicapping process must begin here, it will be imperative for horse players to be able differentiate among the various types of races, racing levels, conditions and restrictions; as well as the complexities involved with why a horse has been entered in a specific race.

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    An Important Measure of Performance

    Thoroughbred Earnings

    From a handicapping standpoint, earnings are an important measure which can be used to gauge performance at a specific distance, over a given surface or under various conditions of thoroughbred racing.

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    Human Interaction with Thoroughbred Race Horses

    Racing Connections

    Racing connections are those people that own and work with a thoroughbred race horse; the owner(s), trainer, rider(s) and stable employees.  In terms of handicapping a horse race, the trainer and jockey will be most significant, but it's important to understand the numerous complexities arising from this human interaction with a race horse.

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    The Distance Factor in a Thoroughbred Horse Race

    Racing Distance

    Distance is extremely important in thoroughbred racing, certain distances can favor the conformation, temperament and running style of a race horse.  Therefore, there will be an exact distance or distances (win range) at which the great majority of thoroughbred horses will be capable of winning.

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    The Effects of Weather on a Thoroughbred Horse Race

    Environmental Conditions

    At any thoroughbred racetrack in America, on both the main track and turf course; the condition of the surface will have a decisive impact upon the outcome of the race.  The most significant environmental factor will be the weather, specifically, the amount of recent rainfall.

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    Thoroughbred Horse Racing and the Weight to be Carried by Each Entry

    Impost

    According to logic, the weight to be carried by an entry should have a demonstrative effect upon the outcome of a race.  In fact, the old Jockey Club method of weights and scales, is still used by racetrack handicappers pretty much everywhere, to assign varied weights to the entries in a race; in order to equalize chances of winning and thus level the field of competition.

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    Additional Handicapping Factors

    Statistical Analysis and Quantification

    As noted above, we view the Secondary Handicapping Factors as those which are beyond the horse's control.

    In other words in our view, any existing factor with the potential to impact the outcome of a race, if it can be quantified, and, if it is outside the horse's realm of control; then we classify that factor as a Secondary Handicapping Factor.

  • Track workers prepare the turf course during opening day at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, Calif., on Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2017.  (Photo by Keith Birmingham, Pasadena Star-News/SCNG)

    Track workers prepare the turf course during opening day at Santa Anita Park in Arcadia, Calif., on Tuesday, Dec. 26, 2017. (Photo by Keith Birmingham, Pasadena Star-News/SCNG)

     

    Thoroughbred Horse Racing Over the Main Track and Sod

    Racing Surface

    From a handicapping standpoint, there is a fundamental difference between dirt and turf races.  Whereas over dirt, speed as an individual element of Class will often be decisive; winners of turf races will require more stamina and determination during the final fraction in order to prevail, thus as a handicapping factor, turf and dirt races must be approached with different methods.