Thoroughbred Horse Racing

Through the Vision of Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum.Dubai World Cup

Through the Vision of Vice President, Prime Minister of the United Arab Emirates and Ruler of Dubai, His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum

Climaxing the UAE racing season, the biggest sporting and social event in Dubai, the World Cup is held on the last Saturday in March at Meydan Racecourse.

Home to the world’s richest day of horse racing, legendary Meydan Racecourse celebrates 2020 with the 25th running of the Group 1, $12-MILLION USD, richest horse race in the world, the historic Emirates Airline Dubai World Cup.

With $35-MILLION USD in total purses on the race card that features six Group 1 and three Group 2 events, the Emirates Airline Dubai World Cup provides a global stage upon which the best horses in the world compete each year.

 

Guests on Dubai World Cup day can choose from a variety of hospitality options to suit every budget, for more information: https://store.meydan.ae/

 

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Group One, $12MILLION USD Dubai World Cup

Maximum Security, Gift Box, Higher Power, Math Wizard, McKinzie, Midnight Bisou, Roadster and Seeking the Soul

Nominations for the Group One, $12MILLION USD Dubai World Cup with a formidable American contingent led by Maximum Security, also include G1 winners Gift Box, Higher Power, Math Wizard, McKinzie, Midnight Bisou, Roadster and Seeking the Soul.

Additional headliners nominated elsewhere on the card for the world’s richest day in horse racing ($35 MILLION USD) include Almond Eye, Anthony Van Dyck, Beauty Generation, Benbatl, Nature Strip and Star Catcher.

The Dubai World Cup is run at 2,000-meters, over the main track at Meydan International Racecourse, home to the world's richest day of horse racing; and during its 24 past iterations, has been won by horses trained in France, Japan, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom and the United States America.

Nominations for the $6MILLION USD Dubai Sheema Classic have attracted some of the top horses in the world, including Suave Richard from Japan, Star Catcher, Derby winner Anthony Van Dyck, Exultant and Ghaiyyath.

Additionally, Japanese superstar Almond Eye defends her Group One, $6MILLION USD Dubai Turf title.

American Grade 1 winners Imperial Hint, Hog Creek Hustle and Firenze Fire, as well as, Breeders’ Cup Sprint runner-up Shancelot, together with Dubai based Drafted and Gladiator King; round out the nominations to the Group One, $2.5MILLION USD, Dubai Golden Shaheen.

Top Australian sprinters Hey Doc the Winter Bottom Stakes winner and Darley Sprint Classic champion Nature Strip, have both been nominated for the Group One, $2MILLION USD, Al Quoz Sprint; run at 1200-meters over the turf course at Meydan International.

The first supplementary stage for all Dubai World Cup day races will close on February 12.

The second supplementary stage is on March 9.

The final supplementary stage will be on March 22, when horses can be supplemented into the races before the entry declaration on March 23.

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Next stop Dubai for Belmont Stakes Winner Sir Winston

Mark Casse decides to train the Belmont Stakes winner for the test in March

2019 Belmont Stakes (G1) winner Sir Winston will not race again until the $12-MILLION USD Dubai World Cup sponsored by Emirates Airline, to be run on March 28 at Meydan International Racecourse.

"We've been invited to the Dubai World Cup and we accepted," said trainer Mark Casse on 4 February.

Sir Winston was sidelined for 6 months after winning the Belmont. The Jazil Stakes at Aqueduct was targeted for his return to dirt, but he was scratched due to bad weather, opting instead for an $80,000 allowance race over a one-turn mile at Aqueduct in which he rallied from last in a field of seven to win by 2 1/4-lengths.

Trainer Casse then tossed plans to run in the 1 5/16-mile Bernardini Stakes at Aqueduct Feb. 29, deciding instead to train up to the 1 1/4-mile Dubai World Cup off the strong effort and super condition.

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Dubai World Cup 2020

Dubai Racing Club releases list of horses accepted for 2020 Dubai World Cup Carnival, running for nine consecutive weeks from 2 January, until 27 February with Super Saturday on 7 March, the official prep for the historic 25th edition of the world-leading $35-MILLION USD Dubai World Cup card on March 28.

The 237 horses and 76 trainers from 16 countries include Australia, Bahrain, Denmark, France, Ireland, South Africa, South Korea, Sweden, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom and the United States of America.
 
With 61 Thoroughbred races and 4 Purebred Arabian affairs up for grabs, a number of international stars will travel to Dubai for the world's richest day of horse racing.
 
Three time Australian Group 1 winning sprinters Sunlight and Nature Strip, Coronation Cup (G1) winner Defoe ships in from England, Cariblanco the Chilean Triple Crown champion, Norwegian exemplar Square de Luynes, Breeders' Cup placed Blue Chipper, Edisa the top class French filly and American G1 winner Pavel from the Doug O'Neill barn.
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The Kentucky Derby

The Kentucky Derby Grade 1 race for 3 year old thoroughbred horses, is run at a distance of one and one quarter (1 1/4) miles, over the main track at Churchill Downs in Louisville, Kentucky.

Colts carry 126 pounds, while fillies in the race carry 121 pounds.

Horses racing in the Kentucky Derby must compete for points in a series of races at tracks across the country and around the world.

Points are awarded to the top four finishers in each of 35 races which comprise the series and the 20 horses with the highest score, will earn a post position in the starting gate at the Kentucky Derby.

One of the most prestigious horse races in the world, the longest running continuous sporting event in America, runs on the first Saturday in May each year drawing huge crowds.

Nicknamed the fastest two minutes in sports, from the time it takes the winner to run gate to wire.

The Kentucky Derby is the first race on the quest for the Triple Crown of thoroughbred racing, followed by the Preakness and the Belmont.

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Important Kentucky Derby Preps

To be included on the list of Kentucky Derby contenders, each horse must earn points in what are called prep races, wherein the top four finishers are awarded coveted points

2020 Kentucky Derby Preps

February

Robert B. Lewis Stakes G3 at Santa Anita Park

Withers Stakes G3 at Aqueduct Racetrack

Holy Bull Stakes G2 at Gulfstream Park

Sam F. Davis Stakes G3 at Tampa Bay Downs

El Camino Real Derby at Golden Gate Fields

*Risen Star Stakes G3 at the Fair Grounds Race Course

Southwest Stakes G3 at Oaklawn Park

*Fountain of Youth Stakes G2 at Gulfstream Park

March

*San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita Park

*Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs

*Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct Racetrack

**Louisiana Derby G2 at the Fair Grounds Race Course

*Sunland Derby G3 at Sunland Park

**UAE Derby G2 at Meydan Racecourse

**Florida Derby G1 at Gulfstream Park

April

**Wood Memorial Stakes G2 at Aqueduct Racetrack

**Blue Grass Stakes G2 at Keeneland Racecourse

**Santa Anita Derby G1 at Santa Anita Park

Lexington Stakes G3 at Keeneland Race Course

**Arkansas Derby G1 at Oaklawn Park

 

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Kentucky Derby

A Dozen Important Contenders in 2020:

 

AUTHENTIC
Full of raw talent. The stylish win in the $100,000 Sham G3 at Santa Anita Park stamps him a contender. Onward and upward with trainer Bob Baffert at the helm, seeking his sixth Kentucky Derby win. Racing for the SF Racing, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables, Frederick Hertrich III, John Fielding and Golconda Stables partnership, the key for Authentic will be to relax and focus. The question of lineage and ability to win at the classic - one and one fourth miles distance must also be answered, since Authentic's sire Into Mischief was a sprinter-miler.

 

AZUL COAST
After winning the El Camino Real Derby with Azul Coast, Trainer Bob Baffert is having flashbacks to 1996 when his first Kentucky Derby starter, an improving three-year old colt named Cavonnier, who also won the El Camino Real Derby; going on to finish second by a nose in the now legendary conditioner's first Kentucky Derby attempt. Unbothered by either the stretch out to one and one eigth miles or the surface switch, he showed improved tactical speed, racing in fourth early and capitalizing upon his stamina late to win by just over a length.

 

CAFE PHAROAH
An up and coming colt for owner Koichi Nishikawa and trainer Noriyuki Hori, although there will be some factors to overcome, owning an abundance of speed with a powerful finishing kick; this son of 2015 Triple Crown champion American Pharoah's runaway maiden win going 1,800 meters in Japan, could be an indication that the one and one fourth miles classic distance will not be a problem.

 

EIGHT RINGS
Though at times unpredictable, Eight Rings has all the makings of a Kentucky Derby contender, bred for stamina while demonstrating flashes of competitive determination, the colt can dominate if he feels like running and the high level of performance Eight Rings has demonstrated in peak form, indicate he can be a major factor in the 2020 Kentucky Derby, if trainer Bob Baffert can unlock his potential.

 

MAXFIELD
Overcoming a slow break, racing 10 lengths off modest fractions early, then demonstrating a powerful kick to circle the field and take over the lead at the stretch call, sustaining the run down the stretch to win by 5; this talented colt trained by Brendan Walsh, won the Breeders’ Cup Futurity at one and one sixteenth miles, like a solid contender for the 2020 triple crown. Watchout! Sired by Street Sense, out of a mare by Bernardini, Maxfield is bred top and bottom for the classic distances.

 

MAX PLAYER
With a convincing victory in the Withers G3 at Aqueduct, this colt bred by K & G Stables, owned by George Hall, stamped himself as an up and coming Kentucky Derby contender. A son of Honor Code, out of a mare by Not For Love, his deep closer running style certainly benefited from the one and one eighth miles distance and Max Player is bred for stamina, suggesting the more distance the merrier.

 

MODERNIST
Scoring an upset win in the Risen Star G2 at Fair Grounds which earned the bay colt 50 Kentucky Derby qualification points, the homebred racing for Pam and Martin Wygod, sired by Uncle Mo, out of an unraced daughter of Bernardini; broke from the rail, dueled for the early lead and put away his rivals in the stretch to win by a length. Now two-for-two at one and one eighth miles, the colt may relish the classic distance in the Kentucky Derby.

 

MR MONOMOY
Owned by the Madaket Stables, Michael Dubb, and Doheny Racing Stable partnership, this colt earned 50 qualification points with a gate to wire win in the Risen Star over one and one eighth miles at Fair Grounds. Bred to excel in spring, tactical speed and a powerful pedigree on both the top and bottom, the bay colt must be considered a solid triple crown contender in 2020.

 

SHOTSKI
With a win in the $250,000 Remsen Stakes G2 at Aqueduct, followed by a confident class hike for the Street Sense Stakes at Churchill Downs, where he ran evenly finishing fourth, that race was flattered when the third-place finisher returned to win a G2 event next out. His stamina is no surprise, son of Blame, out of a Bluegrass Cat mare, with plenty of tactical speed but can sit back and pounce too.

 

STORM THE COURT
Right off the bat, a score in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile G1, the blinkers on with modified tactics made the difference, with a burst of speed to set the pace and turn back a formidable challenger in Anneau d’Or, covering the one and one sixteenth miles in 1:44, to win by a head at 45-to-1 odds. Conditioned by Peter Eurton and racing for the partnership of Exline-Border Racing, David Bernsen, Susanna Wilson and Dan Hudock, the son of Court Vision earned $1.1-MILLION taking down the Juvenile.

 

THOUSAND WORDS
Exciting son of Pioneer of the Nile trained by Bob Baffert, unclear whether he has the stamina to handle the classic distance of the Kentucky Derby, although there will be a shot of endurance from the sire, mare was a sprinter owning a speed pedigree; Baffert has indicated the distance isn’t going to be a problem.

 

TIZ THE LAW
Bred in New York, purchased for $110,000 as a yearling, the son of Constitution scored a victory in the Champagne G1 at Belmont Park, after stumbling at the start, powering into contention and drawing off to win by four. Assuming he continues to develop, he owns the talent and breeding to be a serious factor in the Kentucky Derby.

 

FULL LEADERBOARD

Contender Rank

Ete Indien, #1, 54 Points $285,156

 
Modernist, #2, 50 Points $240,000
 

Enforceable, #3, 33 Points $264,550
 

Storm the Court, #4, 22 Points $1,148,351
 

Tiz the Law, #5, 22 Points $456,000
 

Silver Prospector, #6, 21 Points $654,851
 

Thousand Words, #7, 20 Points $181,000
 

Major Fed, #8, 20 Points $80,000
 

Candy Tycoon, #9, 20 Points $76,000
 

Shotski, #10, 19 Points $212,466
 

Independence Hall, #11, 14 Points $205,000
 

Silver State, #12, 14 Points $80,000
 

Azul Coast, #13, 14 Points $80,000
 

Shoplifted, #14, 13 Points $388,500
 

Anneau d'Or, #15, 12 Points $385,000
 

Maxfield, #16, 10 Points $300,000
 

Eight Rings, #17, 10 Points $200,351
 

Sole Volante, #18, 10 Points $173,510
 

Dennis' Moment, #19, 10 Points $141,800
 

Gold Street, #20, 10 Points $141,000
 

Max Player, #21, 10 Points $137,500
 

As Seen On Tv, #22, 10 Points $72,600
 

Authentic, #23, 10 Points $60,000
 

Ny Traffic, #24, 10 Points $44,320
 

Ajaaweed, #25, 7 Points $95,000
 

Scabbard, #26, 6 Points $186,000
 

Answer In, #27, 6 Points $155,000
 

Wrecking Crew, #28, 5 Points $293,000
 

Finnick the Fierce, #29, 5 Points $70,200
 

Mailman Money, #30, 5 Points $16,000
 

Farmington Road, #31, 5 Points $16,000
 

Green Light Go, #32, 4 Points $224,550
 

Wells Bayou, #33, 4 Points $150,000
 

Gouverneur Morris, #34, 4 Points $100,000
 

High Velocity, #35, 4 Points $97,000
 

American Theorem, #36, 4 Points $60,000
 

Three Technique, #37, 4 Points $30,000
 

Royal Act, #38, 4 Points $21,644
 

Prince of Pharoahs, #39, 3 Points $27,750
 

Bourbon Bay, #40, 3 Points $24,000
 

Big City Bob, #41, 2 Points $120,000
 

Chase Tracker, #42, 2 Points $51,750
 

Portos, #43, 2 Points $30,000
 

Toledo, #44, 2 Points $24,500
 

Zimba Warrior, #45, 2 Points $24,500
 

Jungle Runner, #46, 1 Points $86,750
 

Monday Morning Qb, #47, 1 Points $75,000
 

Informative, #48, 1 Points $35,000
 

Letmeno, #49, 1 Points $29,200
 

Taishan, #50, 1 Points $28,500
 

Relentless Dancer, #51, 1 Points $12,250
 

Tiz Rye Time, #52, 1 Points $10,000
 

Tizamagician, #53, 1 Points $6,000

 
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Road to Kentucky Derby: Update

Grade 3 Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct

Frontrunners Mischevious Alex and Untitled look like serious contenders in the Gotham G3 at Aqueduct, a road to the Kentucky Derby qualifier awarding 50, 20, 10 and 5 points to the top four finishers respectively. Meanwhile, Attachment Rate will ship in for trainer Dale Romans, with War Stopper, Sixto and Informative rounding out an interesting contingent of last out maiden winners. Montauk Traffic will be making his first start in graded stakes company together with homebred stable mate, the first level Allowance winner First Deputy. Flap Jack, Celtic Striker and Necker Island complete the field of three year olds for this contest over the infamous one turn mile at Aqueduct Racetrack.

 

$250K Busher Invitational at Aqueduct

Lake Avenue comes in off a sharp four-length G2 win and Maedean, the favorite in the same event finishing second while closing substantial ground, appear to be the main threats here. Although Water White, Mo City and Inveterate will be running to win the race and merit close inspection.

 

1 1/16-miles Honeybee

Unbeaten Ring Leader will make her first start around two-turns, the bay daughter of Paynter, McLean Robertson-trained filly is a perfect three-for-three. Alta’s Reward will be running for the Steve Asmussen barn, off two victories at Fair Grounds. Turtle Trax, Motu and Raggedy Annie will be out for blood too.

 

Tampa Bay Derby

Chance It, the four out of six win machine starts for trainer Saffie Joseph Jr., boasting a strong worktab at Gulfstream Park. Sole Volante, Market Analysis, Texas Swing and Unrighteous represent the dangers in the field of 12 lining up for the Tampa Bay Derby.

 

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Derby Notes

Ete Indien Takes Control of Derby Leaderboard

After finishing second to Tiz the Law in the Holy Bull G3 Stakes, Ete Indien won the Fountain of Youth G2 in impressive fashion over Candy Tycoon and Shotski. The dark bay colt trained by Patrick Biancone has matured into a formidable prospect with the surface switch to dirt which has favored his abundant early speed. With the makings of a serious contender for the Kentucky Derby, connections have pointed him towards the $1-MILLION Florida Derby G1 running on March 28 at Gulfstream Park.

 

A Picture Worth a Thousand Words

Thousand Words running for the Bob Baffert barn and sired by Pioneer of the Nile, another Baffert star back in the day that finished second to 50:1 shot Mine That Bird over a sloppy track in the 2009 Kentucky Derby; with Point Given, yet another Baffert superstar who finished fifth in the 2001 Kentuck Derby, and more Derby connections on the bottom of his pedigree.

 

Fountain of Youth

At a distance of 1 1/16 miles, over the main track at Gulfstream Park, Ete Indien demonstrates powerful speed; while Tiz the Law's convincing three length victory over Ete Indien in the Holy Bull G3 is flattered. The talented duo will face off again in the Florida Derby. Dennis’ Moment comes out of the Fountain of Youth in good shape, connections targeting the Blue Grass G2 at Keeneland.

 

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The Preakness Stakes

 
The Second Jewel

 

The Preakness Stakes G1 is the middle jewel in thoroughbred racing's triple crown, run at a distance of 1 3/16 miles over the main track at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland on the third Saturday in May.

 

Fillies carry 121 pounds, colts 126 pounds. Established in 1873, Preakness traditions include singing the official state song “Maryland, My Maryland,” the painting of the colours and draping the winning horse with a blanket of black-eyed Susans.

 

Preakness History

 

The Preakness Stakes
yearhorsejockey
Fastest time 1:53
1873 Survivor G. Barbee
1874 Culpepper W. Donohue
1875 Tom Ochiltree L. Hughes
1876 Shirley G. Barbee
1877 Cloverbrook C. Holloway
1878 Duke of Magenta C. Holloway
1879 Harold L. Hughes
1880 Grenada L. Hughes
1881 Saunterer T. Costello
1882 Vanguard T. Costello
1883 Jacobus G. Barbee
1884 Knight of Ellerslie Fisher
1885 Tucumseh W. Donohue
1886 The Bard Fisher
1887 Dunboyne W. Donohue
1888 Refund F. Littlefield
1889 Buddhist Anderson
1890 Montague W. Martin
1894 Assignee F. Taral
1895 Belmar F. Taral
1896 Margrave H. Griffin
1897 Paul Kauvar Thorpe
1898 Sly Fox W. Simms
1899 Half Time R. Clawson
1900 Hindus H. Spencer
1901 The Parader Landry
1902 Old England L. Jackson
1903 Flocarline W. Gannon
1904 Bryn Mawr E. Hildebrand
1905 Cairngorm W. Davis
1906 Whimsical W. Miller
1907 Don Enrique G. Mountain
1908 Royal Tourist E. Dugan
1909 Effendi W. Doyle
1910 Layminster R. Estep
1911 Watervale E. Dugan
1912 Colonel Holloway C. Turner
1913 Buskin J. Butwell
1914 Holiday A. Schuttinger
1915 Rhine Maiden D. Hoffman
1916 Damrosch L. McAtee
1917 Kalitan Ev. Haynes
1918 War Cloud J. Loftus
Jack Hare, Jr. C. Peak
1919 Sir Barton J. Loftus
1920 Man o' War C. Kummer
1921 Broomspun F. Coltiletti
1922 Pillory L. Morris
1923 Vigil B. Marinelli
1924 Nellie Morse J. Merimee
1925 Coventry C. Kummer
1926 Display J. Maiben
1927 Bostonian A. Abel
1928 Victorian R. Workman
1929 Dr. Freeland L. Schaefer
1930 Gallant Fox E. Sande
1931 Mate G. Ellis
1932 Burgoo King E. James
1933 Head Play C. Kurtsinger
1934 High Quest R. Jones
1935 Omaha W. Saunders
1936 Bold Venture G. Woolf
1937 War Admiral C. Kurtsinger
1938 Daubet M. Peters
1939 Challedon G. Seabo
1940 Bimelech F.A. Smith
1941 Whirlaway E. Arcaro
1942 Alsab B. James
1943 Count Fleet J. Longden
1944 Pensive C. McCreary
1945 Polynesian W.D. Wright
1946 Assault W. Mehrtens
1947 Faultless D. Dodson
1948 Citation E. Arcaro
1949 Capot T. Atkinson
1950 Hill Prince E. Arcaro
1951 Bold E. Arcaro
1952 Blue Man C. McCreary
1953 Native Dancer E. Guerin
1954 Hasty Road E. Arcaro
1955 Nashua W. Hartack
1956 Fabius E. Arcaro
1957 Bold Ruler I. Valenzuela
1958 Tim Tam J. Adams
1959 Royal Orbit W. Harmatz
1960 Bally Ache R. Ussery
1961 Carry Back J. Sellers
1962 Greek Money J.L. Rotz
1963 Candy Spots W. Shoemaker
1964 Northern Dancer W. Hartack
1965 Tom Rolfe R. Turcotte
1966 Kauai King D. Brumfield
1967 Damascus W. Shoemaker
1968 Forward Pass I. Valenzuela
1969 Majestic Prince W. Hartack
1970 Personality E. Belmonte
1971 Canonero II G. Avila
1972 Bee Bee Bee E. Nelson
1973 Secretariat R. Turcotte
1974 Little Current M. Rivera
1975 Master Derby D. McHargue
1976 Elocutionist J. Lively
1977 Seattle Slew J. Cruguet
1978 Affirmed S. Cauthen
1979 Spectacular Bid R. Franklin
1980 Codex A. Cordero, Jr.
1981 Pleasant Colony J. Velasquez
1982 Aloma's Ruler J. Kaenel
1983 Deputed Testamony D. Miller
1984 Gate Dancer A. Cordero, Jr.
1985 Tank's Prospect P. Day
1986 Snow Chief A. Solis
1987 Alysheba C. McCarron
1988 Risen Star E. Delahoussaye
1989 Sunday Silence P. Valenzuela
1990 Summer Squall P. Day
1991 Hansel J. Bailey
1992 Pine Bluff C. McCarron
1993 Prairie Bayou M. Smith
1994 Tabasco Cat P. Day
1995 Timber Country P. Day
1996 Louis Quatorze P. Day
1997 Silver Charm G. Stevens
1998 Real Quiet K. Desormeaux
1999 Charismatic C. Antley
2000 Red Bullet J. Bailey
2001 Point Given G. Stevens
2002 War Emblem V. Espinoza
2003 Funny Cide J. Santos
2004 Smarty Jones S. Elliott
2005 Afleet Alex J. Rose
2006 Bernardini J. Castellano
2007 Curlin R. Albarado
2008 Big Brown K. Desormeaux
2009 Rachel Alexandra C. Borel
2010 Lookin at Lucky M. Garcia
2011 Shackleford J. Castanon
2012 I'll Have Another M. Gutierrez
2013 Oxbow G. Stevens
2014 California Chrome V. Espinoza
2015 American Pharoah V. Espinoza
2016 Exaggerator K. Desormeaux
2017 Cloud Computing J. Castellano
2018 Justify M. Smith
2019 War of Will T. Gaffalione

 

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History of the Preakness Stakes

Thoroughbred Racing at the Great Race Place

 

Introduced in 1873 when Pimlico Racecourse held its first spring meet, the race has become one of the most important in American thoroughbred racing.

 

Survivor won the first Preakness Stakes in 1873 by ten lengths, the largest margin of victory for over a century until Smarty Jones won by 11 1/2 lengths in 2004.

 

Secretariat owns the fastest time in the Preakness of 1:53.00, Man o’ War won the 1920 Preakness after skipping the Kentucky Derby.

 

The Preakness has been won by 35 winners of the Kentucky Derby, including 12 triple crown winners and fillies have won the Preakness five times.

 

The 145th Preakness Stakes will run on the third Saturday in May, 2020 covering 1 3/16th miles. The race has been run at 1 3/16 miles since 1925.

 

The Preakness Stakes has been run at different distances throughout history and remains today, the shortest of the three triple crown races.

 

The highest paying winner, Master Derby in 1975, paid $48.80 to win; with Citation in 1948 and Spectacular Bid in 1979 both paying $2.20 at the low end of the spectrum.

 

Huge crowds and high television ratings are normal for the crown jewel of Maryland’s thoroughbred racing.

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Godolphin's Maxfield to Skip the Kentucky Derby

Trainer Brendan Walsh Pointing to Preakness

 

Godolphin's undefeated Maxfield worked a half-mile breeze at Palm Meadows continuing toward his three-year-old debut.

 
After scratching from the Breeders' Cup Juvenile G1 with a minor foot bruise, he returned to the work tab Feb. 17 and Walsh is doubtful there will be time to make the $1 million Curlin Florida Derby G1 on March 28 at Gulfstream Park, indicating that skipping the first leg of the triple crown in favor of the Preakness Stakes G1 at Pimlico Race Course is on the table.

 

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Preakness 145 Tickets on Sale

Grade 1 Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Racecourse

 

The Stronach Group and the Maryland Jockey Club, owners of the legendary Pimlico Race Course, announced today that facility and Preakness Village tickets to Preakness 145 are on sale.

 

The Preakness Stakes G1, the middle jewel of the triple crown, will be held on Saturday, May 16th 2020 at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore.

 

Tickets range from $40 to $750 per person. Preakness 145 will feature something for everyone.

 

For more information please visit www.preakness.com.

 

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Secretariat’s Preakness Garland

To be sold at auction

 

The flower garland draped over Secretariat after winning the 1973 Preakness Stakes will be sold at auction. Provenance of the garland originates directly from Secretariat's owner, Mrs. Penny Chenery.

 

The garland has been stripped of its flowers, folded into a V shape, professionally mounted and framed. A Preakness ribbon and single Black Eyed Susan flower remain.

 

In 1973, Secretariat became the first horse in 25 years to win the triple crown, posting record times which still stand in all three races; culminating in a historic win by over 30 lengths at the Belmont Stakes.

 

Retiring at the end of the season, with a lifetime record of 16-3-1 and earnings of $1,316,808, many will regard Secretariat as the best race horse ever.

 

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Preakness and Baltimore: A Perfect Pair

The Preakness Stakes Continues to be City’s Flagship Event
 
Every third Saturday in May, horse racing fans who love and celebrate the Preakness Stakes each year, find their way to Pimlico Racecourse.
 
Beers and Black Eyed Susans, Maryland My Maryland, the Preakness Stakes party is non-stop, people from all walks of life come to enjoy the atmosphere.

 

The Preakness either sets up the hope for a new triple crown winner or bursts the bubble.

 

The Preakness Stakes and Baltimore make for a perfect pair, Charm City offers unique events during Preakness week, hot air balloons litter the sky as everyone waits for the post position draw.

 

The Maryland Jockey Club wasfounded in 1743 and for over 270 years, Maryland has been the birthplace of champion thoroughbreds; now running for over 140 years the Preakness - and Baltimore go together naturally.

 

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The fastest time ever run was 1:53 by Secretariat in 1973.

The fastest time ever: 1:53 by Secretariat in 1973.

Preakness Stakes: Fun Facts

 

Pimlico Race Course is the second oldest racetrack in the country, the oldest being Saratoga Race Course.

 

The Black-Eyed Susan Blanket awarded to the winner of the Preakness, is 90 inches long, 18 inches wide and takes four people, a total of eight hours to make.

 

In addition, the Black-Eyed Susan is the official drink of the Preakness Stakes, named after the blanket awarded to the winner of the race; and made with a shot of vodka, a shot of bourbon, a shot of orange juice and a splash of sour.

 

The very first Preakness Stakes ever in 1873 had a purse of $1,000.

 

The fastest time ever run was 1:53 by Secretariat in 1973.

 

Smarty Jones won in 2004 by 11 1/2 lengths, the largest margin of victory ever.

 

Master Derby defeated the 1975 Kentucky Derby champion and heavy chalk Foolish Pleasure by a length, to become the longest shot ever to win, returning a win mutuel of $48.00.

 

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The oldest and longest of the three spring classics originated in 1867, named after sportsman August Belmont.

 

Belmont Stakes

 

The oldest and longest of the three spring classics originated in 1867, named after sportsman August Belmont, the race has been run at various distances and tracks throughout history; however, it has been held at Belmont Park since 1905 and run at 1 1/2 miles since 1926.

 

When is the Belmont Stakes?

 

June 6, 2020

 

Where is the Belmont Stakes Run?
 

 

Belmont Park in Elmont, NY

 

What time is the Belmont Stakes Run?
 

 

Approximately 6:30p.m. EST
 

 

How many total horses are in the Belmont Stakes?
 

 

Up to 14 starters
 

 

Where can I watch the Belmont Stakes?

 

NBC: 5:00p.m. - 7:00p.m. EST

 

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The longest leg of the triple crown is a historic thoroughbred horse race first run in 1867, named for August Belmont, Sr.

 

Belmont Stakes History

 
Named After August Belmont, Sr., Racehorse Breeder and Sportsman who Financed the First Running

 

The longest leg of the triple crown is a historic thoroughbred horse race first run in 1867, named for August Belmont, Sr., a racehorse breeder and sportsman that financed the first running; who's son August Belmont, Jr., would go on to supervise the construction of Belmont Park in Elmont, New York.

 

Winners of the Belmont participate in many traditions, the winning horse is draped in a blanket of white carnations and the winning owner is presented the August Belmont Trophy.

 

Throughout history, the highly regarded Belmont Stakes has attracted the cream of the thoroughbred horse racing crop, including 12 triple crown winners:

 

Sir Barton (1919)
 

Gallant Fox (1930)
 

Omaha (1935)
 

War Admiral (1937)

 

Whirlaway (1941)
 

Count Fleet (1943)
 

Citation (1948)
 

Secretariat (1973)
 

Seattle Slew (1977)
 

Affirmed (1978)
 

American Pharoah (2015)
 

Justify (2018)

 

Run each year on the first or second Saturday in June, the test of the champion runs on Saturday, June 6 this year; exactly three weeks after the Preakness Stakes and five weeks after the Kentucky Derby.

 

The total purse for the Belmont Stakes is $1.5-MILLION, so ensuring the winning connections receive a payday of $900,000. Post time will be at 6.30p.m. EST., with television coverage on NBC beginning at 5:00p.m., EST.

 

Buying tickets for the Belmont Stakes is eay, with availability ranging from Platinum, Gold and Bronze Clubhouse Packages, to the Garden Terrace or Champagne Room Package.

 

All the above packages offer hospitality and range from $699 to $1,299, premium box seats are also available starting at $425; General admission is $80, including the wristband good for four 12-ounce beers or bottled waters and a trackside view of the far turn, with food trucks and a live DJ.

 

Secretariat set the fastest time in 1973 with a mind blowing 2:24 flat, no other horse in history has ever run less than 2:26.

 

The great Jim McLaughlin notched six out of seven wins between 1882 and 1888, a feat that would remain unmatched until 1955 when champion jockey Edddie Arcaro earned his sixth victory in 15 years, after first winning in 1941.

 

Horseman James G. Rowe Sr., who won eight times as a trainer from 1893 to 1913, also won the race twice as a jockey.

 

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At 1 1/2 miles, the Belmont Stakes is commonly referred to as the test of the champion.

 

Celebrating the Belmont Stakes

 
The Oldest and Longest Race of the Triple Crown

 

At 1 1/2 miles, the Belmont Stakes is commonly referred to as the test of the champion.

 

Fans traditionally celebrate by drinking the Belmont Jewel, the official cocktail made with bourbon, lemonade and pomegranate juice.

 

The winner of the race is awarded an elaborate blanket of white carnations imported from Colombia.

 

The winner also receives the August Belmont Trophy, a silver cup they get to keep for a year until the next race day.

 

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There is a safety limit of 14 runners in the Belmont.

 

Qualifying for the Belmont Stakes

 

Grade 1 Belmont Stakes

 

There is a safety limit of 14 runners in the Belmont. Any horse that has already won both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes will be guaranteed a post position in the starting gate.

 

Lifetime earnings are the principal criteria, such that the horses who have run big in the Grade 1 prep races will earn a spot.

 

Owners pay $15,000 for entry, with another $15,000 paid when the horse makes it to the starting gate; and must register horses for all three triple crown races by the end of January, in order to avoid paying an additional $75,000 for the privilege.

 

Colts and geldings carry 126 pounds and fillies carry 121 pounds.

 

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Jerome Park Racetrack was built in 1866 at Bronx, NY by stock market speculator Leonard Jerome and financed by August Belmont Sr..

 

Belmont Stakes: Facts

 

Jerome Park Racetrack was built in 1866 at Bronx, NY by stock market speculator Leonard Jerome and financed by August Belmont Sr..

 

The first running, won by a filly, Ruthless in 1867.

 

The Belmont continued at Jerome Park until 1890 when Morris Park began hosting the race, where it remained until completion of Belmont Park in 1905.

 

Although from 1963 through 1967 the Belmont Stakes was temporarily run at Aqueduct, it has been run at Belmont Park every year.

 

In 1911 and 1912, the race was cancelled due to anti-gambling laws in the state of New York but it returned in 1913 and has been running every year since.

 

At 1 1/2 miles, the Belmont Stakes is the longest of the triple crown races, nicknamed the test of the champion, as in the early days the race was even longer, the current distance was established in 1926.

 

Another nickname is the run for the carnations, since the winning horse is draped with a blanket of white carnations, similar to both the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes traditions.

 

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With both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes in his pocket, after setting record times that stand to this day; the Penny Chenery trained entry was the well deserving favorite in the Belmont Stakes.

 

Secretariat Dominates

 
Thoroughbred Racing at the Great Race Place

 

With both the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes in his pocket, after setting record times that stand to this day; the Penny Chenery trained entry was the well deserving favorite in the Belmont Stakes.

 

Early on, Secretariat and Sham separate from the field in what appeared to be a duel, until Secretariat effortlessly drew off putting Sham away on the back stretch and running on.

 

Calling the race, you could hear the amazed commentator, Secretariat by 12, Secretariat by 14; the other three runners would catch Sham, simply unable to run with "Big Red", who just kept on rolling, to win the Belmont by 31 lengths, in perhaps the greatest performance ever, in the history of thoroughbred horse racing.

 

That day in 1973, Secretariat ran the fastest time in the history of the Belmont Stakes that stands to this day.

 

That day in 1973, Secretariat ran the fastest time in the history of the Belmont Stakes that stands to this day - 2:24 flat.

 

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The first Breeders’ Cup was held at historic Hollywood Park in 1984, in 2007 the series expanded to two full days of racing.

 

The Breeders’ Cup

 

The first Breeders’ Cup was held at historic Hollywood Park in 1984, in 2007 the series expanded to two full days of racing.

 

Each race is limited to a maximum of 14 contenders but the dirt mile which allows 12, while the contender selection criteria ensures level competition with challenge races and a point system.

 

The event rotates to different tracks each year, mostly among Santa Anita, Del Mar, Keeneland and Churchill.

 

Every year, the host track conducts a highly ceremonious, post position draw to assign the contenders who will start in each race.

 

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The first Breeders’ Cup ever took place in 1984, seven races worth no less than $1-MILLION. Featuring two turf races and five on dirt, highlighted by the Classic.

 

Breeders’ Cup History

 

The first Breeders’ Cup ever took place in 1984, seven races worth no less than $1-MILLION. Featuring two turf races and five on dirt, highlighted by the Classic.

 

Over the years, various tracks have played host including Santa Anita, Churchill Downs, Del Mar and Keeneland.

 

Moreover, thoroughbred racing's most legendary have consistently been attracted to the fierce but fair competition:

 

Ferdinand

 

Alysheba

 

Personal Ensign

 

Miesque

 

Sunday Silence

 

Easy Goer

 

Bayakoa

 
Arazi
 
 
Arcangues
 
Cigar

 

Lure

 

Da Hoss

 

Tiznow

 

Goldikova

 
Zenyatta
 

Blame

 

Beholder

 

American Pharoah

 

The Breeders’ Cup expanded to two days of racing in 2007, providing even more opportunities to see just how the best in the world match up.

 
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This year, in the bluegrass section of central Kentucky, Lexington to be exact, on Friday and Saturday, November 6 and 7, at the historic Keeneland Race Course.

 

Breeders' Cup World Championships

 

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at Santa Anita Park, the Great Race Place
 

This year, in the bluegrass section of central Kentucky, Lexington to be exact, on Friday and Saturday, November 6 and 7, at the historic Keeneland Race Course; the best thoroughbred racing horses in the world and their connections will come together for the ultimate test of "class" and superiority, contesting the richest purses in the world, to crown the 2020 thoroughbred horse racing world champions.

 

BC Championships Race Schedule: Friday, November 6

 

2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
$1,000,000
5 Furlongs
2-year-olds
2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf presented by Coolmore America
$1,000,000
1 Mile on Turf
2-year-old males
2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies
$2,000,000
1 1/16 Miles on Dirt
2-year-old females
2020 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
$1,000,000
1 Mile on Turf
2-year-old females
2020 Breeders' Cup TVG Juvenile
$2,000,000
1 1/16 Miles on Dirt
2-year-old males
 

 

BC Championships Race Schedule: Saturday, November 7

 

2020 Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint
$1,000,000
7 Furlongs on Dirt
3-year-old females and up
2020 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint
$1,000,000
5 Furlongs on Turf
3-year-olds and up
2020 Breeders' Cup Big Ass Fans Dirt Mile
$1,000,000
1 Mile on Dirt
3-year-olds and up
2020 Breeders' Cup Maker's Mark Filly & Mare Turf
$2,000,000
1 & 1/4 Miles on Turf
3-year-old females and up
2020 Breeders' Cup Sprint
$2,000,000
6 Furlongs on Dirt
3-year-olds and up
2020 Breeders' Cup TVG Mile
$2,000,000
1 Mile on Turf
3-year-olds and up
2020 Breeders' Cup Longines Distaff
$2,000,000
1 & 1/8 Miles on Dirt
3-year-old females and up
2020 Breeders' Cup Longines Turf
$4,000,000
1 & 1/2 Miles on Turf
3-year-olds and up
2020 Breeders' Cup Longines Classic
$6,000,000
1 & 1/4 Miles on Dirt
3-years-old and up

 

 

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The Challenge Series is essentially the sure path to qualification for the millions of dollars in prize money available at the world championships in early November,

 

Breeders' Cup Challenge Series

 

breederscupa012

The Challenge Series is essentially the sure path to qualification for the millions of dollars in prize money available at the world championships in early November, a set of "Win and You're In" races which are hosted by racetracks throughout the world.
 

More specifically, 86 races, in 11 countries, spanning over 6 continents; wherein, all winners of challenge Series races will have their entry fees, including an allowance for travel expenses, paid by the Breeders' Cup; with up to $10,000 in travel expenses for thoroughbreds based in North America and up to $40,000 in travel expenses for thoroughbreds from other continents.

 
Challenge Series Races

 

 

 

 

Gran Premio International Carlos Pellegrini
San Isidro Racecourse
Argentina
Longines Turf
 
 
Cartier Paddock Stakes
Kenilworth Racecourse
South Africa
Filly & Mare Turf
 
 
L'Ormarins Queen's Plate
Kenilworth Racecourse
South Africa
Mile
 
 
February Stakes
Tokyo Racecourse
Japan
Classic
 
 
Gran Premio Criadores
Palermo
Argentina
Longines Distaff
 
Gran Premio Club Hipico Falabella
Club Hípico de Santiago
Chile
Mile
 
Shoemaker Mile S.
Santa Anita Park
United States
Mile
 
 
Yasuda Kinen
Tokyo Racecourse
Japan
Mile
 
Ogden Phipps Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
Longines Distaff
 
Jaipur Invitational Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
Turf Sprint
 
Runhappy Metropolitan Handicap
Belmont Park
United States
Big Ass Fans Dirt Mile
 
Gran Premio Brasil
Hipódromo da Gávea
Brazil
Longines Turf
 
Stephen Foster Handicap
Churchill Downs
United States
Classic
 
Fleur de Lis Handicap
Churchill Downs
United States
Longines Distaff
 
Queen Anne Stakes
Ascot Racecourse
United Kingdom
Mile
 
Prince of Wales's Stakes
Ascot Racecourse
United Kingdom
Longines Turf
 
Norfolk Stakes
Ascot Racecourse
United Kingdom
Juvenile Turf Sprint
 
Diamond Jubilee Stakes
Ascot Racecourse
United Kingdom
Turf Sprint
 
Takarazuka Kinen
Hanshin Racecourse
Japan
Longines Turf
 
Princess Rooney Stakes
Gulfstream Park
United States
Filly & Mare Sprint
 
Gran Premio Pamplona
Hipódromo de Monterrico
Peru
Filly & Mare Turf

 

 

John A. Nerud Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
TwinSpires Sprint
 
Haskell Invitational
Monmouth Park
United States
Classic
 
Bing Crosby Stakes
Del Mar
United States
TwinSpires Sprint
 
King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes sponsored by QIPCO
Ascot
United Kingdom
Longines Turf
 
Clement L. Hirsch Stakes
Del Mar
United States
Longines Distaff
 
Qatar Sussex Stakes
Goodwood Racecourse
United Kingdom
Mile

 

 

The Whitney
Saratoga
United States
Classic
 
Beverly D. Stakes
Arlington Park
United States
Filly & Mare Turf
 
Arlington Million
Arlington Park
United States
Longines Turf
 
Fourstardave Handicap
Saratoga
United States
Mile
 
Prix du Haras de Fresnay-Le-Buffard Jacques le Marois
Deauville
France
Mile
 
Del Mar Handicap Presented by the Japan Racing Association
Del Mar
United States
Longines Turf
 
TVG Pacific Classic
Del Mar
United States
Classic
 
Darley Prix Morny
Deauville
France
Juvenile Turf Sprint
 
Juddmonte International Stakes
York
United Kingdom
Longines Turf
 
Darley Yorkshire Oaks
York
United Kingdom
Filly & Mare Turf
 
Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes
York
United Kingdom
Turf Sprint
 
Personal Ensign Handicap
Saratoga
United States
Longines Distaff
 
Ketel One Ballerina Stakes
Saratoga
United States
Filly & Mare Sprint
 
Sword Dancer Invitational Stakes
Saratoga
United States
Longines Turf
 
Pat O'Brien Stakes
Del Mar
United States
Dirt Mile

 

 

Kentucky Downs Turf Sprint
Kentucky Downs
United States
Turf Sprint
 
Jockey Club Derby
Belmont Park
United States
Longines Turf
 
Iroquois Stakes
Churchill Downs
United States
Sentient Jet Juvenile
 
Pocahontas Stakes
Churchill Downs
United States
Juvenile Fillies
 
KPMG Champions Juvenile Stakes
Leopardstown
Ireland
Juvenile Turf
 
The Coolmore Fastnet Rock Matron Stakes
Leopardstown
Ireland
Filly & Mare Turf
 
QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes
Leopardstown
Ireland
Longines Turf
 
Ricoh Woodbine Mile
Woodbine
Canada
Mile
 
Derrinstown Stud Flying Five Stakes
Curragh Racecourse
Ireland
Turf Sprint
 
Moyglare Stud Stakes
Curragh Racecourse
Ireland
Juvenile Fillies Turf
 
Natalma Stakes
Woodbine
Canada
Juvenile Fillies Turf
Summer Stakes
Woodbine
Canada
Juvenile Turf
 
Cotillion Stakes
Parx Racing
United States
Longines Distaff
 
Shadwell Rockfel
Newmarket
United Kingdom
Juvenile Fillies Turf
 
American Pharoah Stakes
Santa Anita Park
United States
Sentient Jet Juvenile
 
Chandelier Stakes
Santa Anita Park
United States
Juvenile Fillies
 
Rodeo Drive Stakes
Santa Anita Park
United States
Filly & Mare Turf
 
Awesome Again Stakes
Santa Anita Park
United States
Classic
 
Vosburgh Invitational Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
TwinSpires Sprint
 
Jockey Gold Cup Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
Classic
 
Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes
Newmarket
United Kingdom
Juvenile Turf
 
Zenyatta Stakes
Santa Anita Park
United States
Longines Distaff
 
Sprinters Stakes
Nakayama Racecourse
Japan
Turf Sprint

 

 

Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Stakes
Keeneland
United States
TwinSpires Sprint
 
Darley Alcibiades Stakes
Keeneland
United States
Juvenile Fillies
 
First Lady Stakes
Keeneland
United States
Filly & Mare Turf
 
Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes
Keeneland
United States
Filly & Mare Sprint
 
Claiborne Breeders' Futurity
Keeneland
United States
TVG Juvenile
 
Shadwell Turf Mile Stakes
Keeneland
United States
Mile
 
Champagne Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
TVG Juvenile
 
Santa Anita Sprint Championship
Santa Anita Park
United States
TwinSpires Sprint
 
The Futurity
Belmont Park
United States
Juvenile Turf Sprint
 
Frizette Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
Juvenile Fillies
 
Flower Bowl Invitational Stakes
Belmont Park
United States
Filly & Mare Turf
 
Speakeasy Stakes
Santa Anita Park
United States
Juvenile Turf Sprint
 
Total Prix Marcel Boussac
ParisLongchamp Racecourse
France
Juvenile Fillies Turf
 
Qatar Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere
ParisLongchamp Racecourse
France
Juvenile Turf
 
Qatar Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe
ParisLongchamp Racecourse
France
Longines Turf
 
Longines Prix de L'Opera
ParisLongchamp Racecourse
France
Filly & Mare Turf
 
Prix de L'Abbaye de Longchamp Longines
ParisLongchamp Racecourse
France
Turf Sprint
 
Indian Summer Stakes
Keeneland
United States
Juvenile Turf Sprint
 
Juddmonte Spinster Stakes
Keeneland
United States
Longines Distaff
 
Dixiana Bourbon Stakes
Keeneland
United States
Juvenile Turf
 
JP Morgan Chase Jessamine Stakes
Keeneland
United States

 

 

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With a $4-MILLION dollar bump, the Breeders’ Cup Board increased the total purses for the two-day world championships to $35-MILLION dollars while too, modifying the payout structure to pay down to the 10th position.

 

Breeders’ Cup to Increase Purses by $4-MILLION in 2020

 

With a $4-MILLION dollar bump, the Breeders’ Cup Board increased the total purses for the two-day world championships to $35-MILLION dollars while too, modifying the payout structure to pay down to the 10th position.

 

The purse increases for this year at Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Ky. on November 6 – 7 are the following:

 

$1-MILLION dollars added to the Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic for a total purse of $7 million

 

$2-MILLION dollars added to the Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf for a total purse of $6 million

 

$1-MILLION dollars added to the Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile for a total purse of $2 million

 

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Lexington, Kentucky gears up for the 2020 Breeders’ Cup.

 

2020 Breeders’ Cup Tickets

 

Lexington, Kentucky gears up for the 2020 Breeders’ Cup. Historic Keeneland Race Course in Lexington, Kentucky, for the second time will play host to the Breeders’ Cup on November 6 and 7, 2020 and tickets are officially on sale.

 

Officials are expecting a huge turnout as in 2015, Keeneland’s first time hosting the world championships and therefore, tickets will not be available on the day of. Even general admission must be purchased in advance, capping attendance at 45,000 for both days.

 

https://www.breederscup.com/tickets

 

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thoroughbredclass01

"Show me the man who can class horses correctly and I will show you the man who can win all the money he wants, and he only needs a dollar to start"

Pittsburgh Phil

 

Time has shown it to be one of the greatest truths ever uttered about horse racing.  Class, that intangible thing that defies definition, controls almost positively the running of thoroughbreds..!  Class enables one horse to beat another no matter what the physical odds imposed may be, what the conditions or what the distance.  You may say it is that which enables a pit bull terrier to whip a big dog of another breed.  Hard to define, but everybody sees it, when it's there.

MAXIMS AND METHODS OF PITTSBURGH PHIL

Whatever is Asked

The ability to defeat rival competitors under any circumstances, to overcome setback or disadvantage; poor start, pace duel, wide trip, shuffled, bumped, forced to steady, a wall of horses, whatever; any horse that holds a meaningful Class advantage - true Thoroughbred Class, will do whatever is asked.

The Elements of Class

While every thoroughbred horse race presents a unique set of challenges to the entries, the winning horse will combine the three elements of class more effectively than its competitors; demonstrating the required mix of speed, determination and stamina to "outclass" the field and prevail on this day.

We approach the difficult task of discerning Thoroughbred Class by understanding first, that it's the most important Primary Handicapping Factor, since by nature true Class will possess inherent talent to overcome Speed or Pace advantage, a troubled trip, or whatever.

Secondly, that a thoroughbred's "True Class Today" (the mix of speed, determination and stamina the horse will demonstrate today) will be a combined function of its Breeding, Speed, ability to sustain a Pace and Current Form; as influenced by the Secondary and Unknown Handicapping Factors.

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Thoroughbred Class in Action:

thoroughbredlineage02

The Ancestral Lineage of a Thoroughbred

Thoroughbred Lineage

Thoroughbred race horses inherit mental and physical characteristics from their Sire (father of a race horse) and Dam (mother), each passing on to their offspring the genetic code provenant from the two ancestral lines.

Therefore in the breeding is where the destiny of a race horse is written, the impact of lineage upon both ability and Class is ever present; the pedigree will define whether a race horse ends up in the claiming ranks or moves up through the conditions and makes it to stakes level competition.

When examining pedigree for the purpose of handicapping a thoroughbred horse race (as opposed to breeding purposes), it's important to appreciate the impact breeding will have in various types of races, over different surfaces, at varying distances.

The genetic factor will be more influential in certain races and less so in others but may be decisive in turf races, maiden special weight, Grade 1 and Grade 2 races; also in races restricted to statebreds, races with two year olds and where certain horses are trying a new surface or stretching out in distance for the first time.

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thoroughbredclass01

The Attribute of Speed in a Thoroughbred

Thoroughbred Speed

Speed is one of the three elements of Class and that makes the two inseparable.  Speed can be a decisive factor in dirt sprints and uncontested Speed can be a decisive factor at any distance over any surface.  Mind you, Speed is one component of Class, the other two being stamina and will.

After all, they're thoroughbreds so we know they can run fast, but for how long?  Handicappers want to know which horses can run fast (speed) while demonstrating an ability to sustain the pace required to subdue the competition (stamina).

Moreover the best horses, those able to effectively calibrate the three elements of Class will be the exemplars with the ability to run fast (speed), sustain the pace (stamina), and respond when challenged by another competitor of equal ability, by exhibiting the required degree of perseverance in the stretch and the stronger will to prevail (determination).

To make things more interesting, since Pace is nothing more than sustained speed, Speed shares an interdependency with Pace as well.

Thus in order to effectively evaluate the Speed factor in a thoroughbred horse race, the distinction must be made between Early Speed as measured to the first call, and adjusted final time for the distance as measured by the speed figure; while remaining cognizant of the influence Early Speed exerts over the final time.

In further analysis, since Early Speed is measured at the first call which occurs at two furlongs in sprints, and since pretty much any thoroughbred horse can go all out for such short distance; then what's important is not how fast a horse can run to the first call but rather, is the horse likely to secure a lead by the first call?

Since this has more to do with running style than actual Speed, a vast array of new questions arise carrying the handicapper straight into analysis of the Pace factor - hence the interdependency.

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thoroughbredclass01

The Pace Factor in a Horse Race

Pace Analysis
"Pace Makes the Race"
 doctorhowardsartin01
Howard "Doc" Sartin
Pace can be a decisive factor anytime a contender controls at least two segments of a race.  Further, Early Speed as measured to the first call is not the same as Early Pace which is measured at the second call; in sprints, the former occurs at two furlongs and the later occurs at four furlongs.  They are two segments of a race, the first fraction and the second fraction; with the third segment being, the final fraction.
 

Pace study will also shed light on how interaction among front runners competing for the early lead is likely to affect the shape and outcome of the race, enabling handicappers to safely eliminate horses that do not meet the early pace requirements of a race, as well as, those that will not be in position to finish well based on running style.

Early Pace is best evaluated through the prism of the quality of the overall effort, in terms of finish position, margin of victory or defeat, lengths gained or lost in the stretch, and final time for the distance as adjusted by track variant (the speed figure).

Therefore, what's important is not how fast a horse can run to the second call but rather, handicappers want to know its comfort zone; how fast a horse can run to the second call, while turning in a winning effort.

Since more often than not, the faster a horse runs during the early stages of a race (the more energy expended); and the slower it will be running in the late stages (lacking energy for the stretch run); thus when challenged by another contender, a horse that is forced to run outside of its comfort zone during the early stages, will likely be fading in the stretch.

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thoroughbredclass01

The Racing Condition and Current Form of a Thoroughbred

 

"Horses are the same as human beings where condition is the test of superiority.  Winners repeat frequently while the defeated are apt to be defeated almost continuously.  Condition has more to do with a horse winning or losing a race than the weight it carries.  A horse in poor condition cannot beat one of his own class.  A high class horse could not win a race with a feather on his back if he is not in condition.  It is as well to play horses that are in winning form.  A horse in winning condition generally repeats or runs into the money.  Different tracks cause decided changes in form frequently.  Study horses' whims and fancies for certain tracks and you will see a good lay; but a high class horse will do his best on any track."

Pittsburgh Phil

Winning Form

No matter any existing advantage whether Class or otherwise, a horse which is not in top Current Form today, will be vulnerable of losing to another horse; if the other horse will be running at peak form.

Here we point to one of the greatest "Class" horses ever, and possibly the greatest we will ever see in our lifetimes, Zenyatta, the queen; who did everything EVER asked of her with a dance and a smile - true Thoroughbred Class.

There is no possible way Blame could have beaten Zenyatta, unless as was the case, he had been pointing towards the race, was cranked to the utmost, perfectly timed to reach the peak of his form cycle in that Breeder's Cup race.

However, aside from the fact that Blame benefitted from having the best rider in the universe Garret Gomez aboard, who pulled all the right strings at all the right moments, emerging in the right place at the right time to put away the Baffert entry coming home in hand; it was a brilliant ride, with Blame basically holding on for dear life those final 50 yds.

Moreover, if you watch the QUEEN at the start, we know she often started at the rear of the pack, but usually not that far back; and it seemed like she may have been a step off on this day as noticed by Trevor's keen eye.

It is therefore imperative for handicappers to be informed regarding the Current Form of each horse in a race.  What is the trainer's intent? Has the horse been pointed to this race? Is this race a tune up?  The best horse does not always win every race, in fact, it will not win if not sound, unfit, out of form or if it is simply not the trainer's intention to win today.

The algorithm which calculates Current Form is based upon our own proprietary method, which has not ever been published anywhere.  Among other things, this algorithm looks at a horse's workout tab and finish position in its last five races.

Moreover, the algorithm has been programmed to assign greater value to a good workout which occured since last race, as opposed to earlier on the tab; and, assigns greater value to a horse that was in the lead or within striking position at the stretch call in its last race, with extra credit if the horse won the race or managed to close ground on the leader.

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Thoroughbred Form in Action:

As BLAME enters the race in razor sharp form, barely holds on to beat the classier ZENYATTA, the great queen.

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The Anatomy of a Thoroughbred Horse Race

Level of Competition

Since every competent handicapping process must begin here, it will be imperative for horse players to be able differentiate among the various types of races, racing levels, conditions and restrictions; as well as the complexities involved with why a horse has been entered in a specific race.

The handicapper's task is precisely to determine how the Primary, Secondary and Unknown Handicapping Factors will inter-relate under the varying conditions of each race on the card; which will either be a Maiden Claiming, Maiden Special Weight, Claiming, Optional Claiming, Starter, Allowance, Stakes or Graded Stakes race.

Moreover, within the above mentioned race-type classifications, there will be specific conditions for each race; sex, age, surface, distance and impost (weight to be carried by each entry), and in certain races there will be further eligibility conditions as set forth by the racing secretary (e.g. n1x, n2x, n3x, n1y, n1$, etc.).

In addition to establishing the racing conditions for every race, the racing secretary may impose restrictions in certain races based upon sex, age, lifetime wins, or some other criteria deemed relevant to racetrack operations (e.g. fillies, 2 year olds, 3 year old fillies, fillies and mares 4 years old and up, N2L - non winners of two lifetime races, etc.).

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Thoroughbred Horse Racing Over the Main Track and Sod

Racing Surface

From a handicapping standpoint, there is a fundamental difference between dirt and turf races.  Whereas over dirt, speed as an individual element of Class will often be decisive; winners of turf races will require more stamina and determination during the final fraction in order to prevail, thus as a handicapping factor, turf and dirt races must be approached with different methods.

Often, a quick scan of a horse's racing record can reveal its preferred racing surface.  From time to time, when horses are trying a new surface for the first time or just switching surfaces, then other factors can be informative.

In such cases, handicappers may find a horse's breeding to be of some importance.  For the most part, if the sire of a race horse was an accomplished turf runner; then it too, may have a propensity to win on turf.

Lastly, turf tends to be a kinder surface to the race horses, runners don't get so much dirt kicked in their face; and as opposed to the main track, the inner rail is frequently adjusted in order to preserve the racetrack surface.

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The Distance Factor in a Thoroughbred Horse Race

Racing Distance

Distance is extremely important in thoroughbred racing, certain distances can favor the conformation, temperament and running style of a race horse.  Therefore, there will be an exact distance or distances (win range) at which the great majority of thoroughbred horses will be capable of winning.

Knowledge of this fact will be important when evaluating the Pace of a race, the Current Form of its entries, and certain trainer moves; thus successful handicappers will pay meticulous attention to identifying a horse's win range and distance preferences.

Additionally, by understanding that the win range of most horses will be limited, horse players can avoid backing horses entered at unsuitable distances.  The racing record of a horse can often help to identify its preferred racing distance(s).

For any horse which has won a race or finished within 1-2 lengths of the winner at today's distance, the racing company, strength of the performance and recency of the effort can be good indicators of suitability to the distance.

In the absence of hard racing data, such as whenever sprinters are stretching out in distance or when routers are cutting back; a study of the Pace, Current Form, and of the distance preferences of its sire can shed light on a runner's potential to win at a given distance.

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Thoroughbred Horse Racing and the Weight to be Carried

Impost

According to logic, the weight to be carried by an entry should have a demonstrative effect upon the outcome of a race.  In fact, the old Jockey Club method of weights and scales, is still used by racetrack handicappers pretty much everywhere, to assign varied weights to the entries in a race; in order to equalize chances of winning and thus level the field of competition.

That said, in practical handicapping terms regarding impost, since the racetrack handicapper has already done the work; other than in two specific cases, it will mostly be inconsequential.

However, handicappers should raise an eye brow any time a horse receives an allowance of 7 to 10 lbs, as usually associated with an apprentice rider; and also whenever european horses racing in their first American race are getting in light at 126.

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Human Interaction with Thoroughbred Race Horses

Racing Connections

Racing connections are those people that own and work with a thoroughbred race horse; the owner(s), trainer, rider(s) and stable employees.  In terms of handicapping a horse race, the trainer and jockey will be most significant, but it's important to understand the numerous complexities arising from this human interaction with a race horse.

The trainer of a thoroughbred race horse will be an elemental component to its future development and running ability.  The trainer will observe the race horse entrusted to be under his care, provide an optimum diet; and develop an exercise routine with immediate and long term racing objectives in mind.

The job of the trainer is to prepare a race horse for competition and then to enter the horse in a race at a certain distance, within a certain class level; where it can win or be competitive.

Therefore since trainers usually have full control over which race a horse is entered in, they will often maneuver a horse up or down in Class for strategic reasons, in search of a group it can beat.

Sometimes the racing secretary does an awesome job in sending a group of equally matched competitors to the post.  In such races, riders will often "use up" their mounts jockeying for position; and in such races, time and time again, a clever rider will make all the difference in the world.

Mind you, no trainer or jockey can win, a horse will win the horse race; and any horse that is not sound or outclassed will not win today.

That said, there are certain clues to lookout for which can be indicators of a live horse ready to win.  The positive jockey switch, to a leading rider, especially when combined with a jump or drop in Class.  The leading rider whom all of a sudden shows up on a mount for an obscure barn.  The leading rider who has his choice of mounts in a race, especially when getting off a horse which he rode to victory in its last race, in favor of another.

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An Important Measure of Performance

Thoroughbred Earnings

From a handicapping standpoint, earnings are an important measure which can be used to gauge performance at a specific distance, over a given surface or under various conditions of thoroughbred racing.

Since they can be indicative of the type of racing company against which a horse has been winning, earnings are often associated with Class.  However earnings are not Class or even an element of Class, they are a byproduct of it; and as such, can provide a window to view Thoroughbred Class.

Moreover, in certain races, patterns among lifetime and recent earnings can be indicative of a horse on the improve or declining; thus shedding light upon the question of Current Form.

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The Effects of Weather on a Thoroughbred Horse Race

Environmental Conditions

At any thoroughbred racetrack in America, on both the main track and turf course; the condition of the surface will have a decisive impact upon the outcome of the race.  The most significant environmental factor will be the weather, specifically, the amount of recent rainfall.

On a yielding turf course, Speed will have virtually no chance of winning.  If the turf course is too wet, a race will typically be moved off turf; and many of the horses will scratch.  Therefore on racing days with bad weather, be sure to verify the race is still on turf.

When the dirt gets wet it gets sloppy and horses which are not in the lead get a constant flow of mud to the face. When handicapping a dirt race over an off track, examine how horses performed under different track conditions to see if they have demonstrated weakness or advantage; it may also be helpful, to consider the sire's performances, weaknesses and advantages over off tracks.

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Thoroughbred Racing Statistics

Analysis and Quantification

As noted above, we view the Secondary Handicapping Factors as those which are beyond the horse's control.

In other words in our view, any existing factor with the potential to impact the outcome of a race, if it can be quantified, and, if it is outside the horse's realm of control; then we classify that factor as a Secondary Handicapping Factor.

Moreover, there can be any number of secondary factors to rate from race to race, which must be quantified and accounted for; this is accomplished largely through applied statistical analysis techniques involving mathematical ratios.

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The Handicapper's View of the Race

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at Santa Anita Park

"There is no principal difference between natural perception and intellectual knowledge."

Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz

The attempt to quantify Unknown Handicapping Factors as Entelechy is a novel approach in thoroughbred horse race handicapping, arising from a clear understanding that due to the nature of the game; whenever thoroughbred horses are racing, there will be Unknown Factors at play.

Existing Reality

That which one perceives through one's five senses.  More specifically, relating to a horse race, from the handicapper's perception of existing reality; in the terms of all that is perceivable from interpretation of the past performances of a race horse, for the purpose of quantifying its probability of winning in the future.

The handicapper's view of a race, after the handicapping process has been completed, upon which an opinion shall develop as to which horse is the most probable winner in the field - Existing Reality.

In other words, when handicappers evaluate past performance data, they form a view of the race and how each horse is likely to perform.  Since the handicapper's view is formed by that which she or he is capable of perceiving during the handicapping process, itself largely influenced by the visible information contained in the past performances; it's in these specific terms we refer to Existing Reality.

At this crucial juncture, whence handicapping has ceased yet as opinion develops, prior to the point when the handicapper turns horse player; it can be useful to consider the force of Entelechy.  Simply stated, there will be additional factors at play, which although not visible on the surface of past performance data, may nevertheless prove to exert substantial effect upon the outcome of a race; and should therefore be part of a handicapper's view of Existing Reality.

Entelechy is the force that transforms Existing Reality into Potential Existence.  A natural life force, present in continuum throughout the lifetime of every living organism in the universe.  From the cellular level, where science has proven that living cells will actually move towards other beneficial cells and move away from toxic cells, to more complex life forms, plants, trees, fish, amphibians, reptiles, birds, insects, animals - to include thoroughbred race horses and humans; we are all here to seek our Potential Existence, and in fact, whether consciously or not are actively engaged in doing so, during every moment of every day, for as long as we remain living.

By natural process, all living things seek to fulfill their optimum Potential Existence.  Entelechy is the force that morphs a seed into a sproutling, into a plant, into a tree; and the same force that should a plant have the misfortune of growing in a shady place, will cause it to grow branches extending outward in search of life giving sunlight, that it may fulfill its Potential Existence of becoming a tree no matter what.

Entelechy causes the birds to fly south for the winter and the whales to migrate oceans, it's the reason why humans learned to manipulate fire; and the same reason why you will never see a horse walk over and stick its hoof into an open flame.  It would not be an optimal Potential Existence, therefore a horse will not naturally seek to place its hoof into a fire.

The force which makes a purebred American Pit Bull Terrier invincible by a dog of any other breed, game to fight if necessary to death when faced by an equally game opponent of the same breed, make no mistake; is the same force that makes a thoroughbred race horse run faster than all the others.

For in those brief moments of their respective lives, when the pit bull is fighting against an equally game opponent, and when the thoroughbred runs head and head down the stretch competing for superiority against an equally matched adversary; it's the reason why they came to this earth and they are in the very act of fulfilling their Potential Existence.  Entelechia Prima.  We all seek Potential Existence.

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The Potential Existence of a Thoroughbred Race Horse

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at the Great Race Place Santa Anita Park
Potential Existence

For this discussion the handicapper's view of a race horse shall be referred to as Existing Reality, and Potential Existence shall refer to the question of whether or not the horse will fulfill its potential of winning.

In specific handicapping terms, we attempt to measure Potential Existence as a degree of improvement or regression to be expected in the performance of a race horse, either above or below that which is reflected or visible in past performances.

Explained another way, every day handicappers consider and eliminate horses based on the visible information contained in past performance data; all too often they eliminate solid contenders at overlaid odds and the story repeats itself at thoroughbred racetracks throughout America.

Race horses with positive Potential Existence ratings might include second time starters, Maiden Special Weight dropping to Maiden Claiming, a bred for turf maiden touching the stuff for the first time, a three year old with an improving Beyer pattern, a four year old coming back from a layoff of one year or more, a sprinter stretching to a route with strong pace ratings, a horse that has won six out of six times down the hill at Santa Anita, a Grade 1 horse in peak form owning solid Beyers earned at the Grade 1 level; apparently, due to the many variations present in thoroughbred horse racing, depending upon the day, this list could be infinite.

Horses with negative Potential Existence ratings may include, a horse which obviously can't win at the level and needs a drop such as a $20,000 Maiden Claimer on its 11th attempt, a Maiden Special Weight horse with more than eight attempts or an N1X Allowance horse after six or seven tries; a race horse five years or older entered in a Claiming race while returning from a layoff of six months or longer, a Claiming horse entered at the $50,000 level or higher which has never won a race above the $32,000 dollar level, a horse at clear disadvantage in Speed or Pace, a race horse in declining form; again, the varied conditions of thoroughbred horse racing will make this exercise a never ending one.

Whether positive or negative entelechy is always present and circumstances will be the key.. The Maiden Special Weight horse dropping into a Maiden Claiming race after dueling for the lead, tiring in the stretch and finishing fourth up close - comment: "edged 3rd"; is much a different wagering proposition than a six year old allowance runner showing up in a claiming race off a 16-month layoff.

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Entelechy and the Conditioner of a Thoroughbred Race Horse

Something's Different Today

Since the trainer of a thoroughbred race horse is an elemental component of its future development, the trainer's actions will be tied directly to the Potential Existence of a race horse by the law of cause and effect.

In the process of preparing a race horse for competition and placing it where it can win or be competitive, trainers will often maneuver horses for strategic reasons according to short and long term objectives; thus by observing closely the actions of a trainer, the astute handicapper can gain insight to a horse's Potential Existence today.

Look for signs, possible indicators of an elevated or diminished Potential Existence, examine carefully whenever something's different today.  A jump or drop in class, a surface switch, an increase or cut back in distance, an equipment or medication change, a significant weight allowance or any combination thereof.

A change in jockey, better yet, a change back to the last jockey who won on the horse; even better, a leading jockey gets off another horse to ride this one.  Better still, the leading jockey of the meet chooses to ride this horse in favor of some other horse which she or he rode to victory in its last race.

There may be early action on the tote board, the jockey might skip the post parade to warm up a horse before the race; depending upon circumstance, the possible signs will be as many as the vast array thoroughbred horse racing has to offer.

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The Up and Coming Three Year Old Thoroughbred Race Horse

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at Santa Anita Park
Improving Three Year Olds

As concerning the Unknown Handicapping Factors which we call Entelechy, specifically, Existing Reality (that which is visible in the past performances), and Potential Existence (the proverbial horse "sittin' on a race" that may not be visible on the face of past performance data); thoroughbred races for three year olds, as well as three year olds and up, present numerous complexities.

These guys walk around all day just oozing Entelechy, with a Potential Existence that increases by virtue of waking up in the morning.

From the ages of two to four years old, a thoroughbred race horse will improve approximately 20-25 points on the Beyer speed scale; often demonstrating continuous improvement throughout its three year old season.

In fact, a healthy and sound three year old race horse, is in a period of rapid physical development, growing stronger and running faster every day; learning the game and gaining valuable experience with each race.  Consequently, when handicapping these races, it's important to consider the natural process of maturity taking its course.

During the first half of the year most three year old race horses will run slower than those ages four and up.

In Allowance races, horsemen will be experimenting, owners will be headstrong, as a result many will be ill placed; such that eventual claiming horses may find themselves facing allowance company.  Therefore, three year old race horses moving up from Claiming to Allowance class, would possess a diminished Potential Existence.

In Claiming races, other than the restricted N2L and N3L events, three year olds will be generally unreliable, claiming prices will be inflated, expectations should be low; the horses with higher Potential Existence will be dropping in after having demonstrated some level of ability at the allowance level.

Later in the year, the three year olds are able to compete against older horses more effectively, as the age disadvantage begins to evaporate.

In Allowance races, trainers will be out to win, the owners more realistic, as a result, horses will be better placed.  The talented, lightly raced horses will catch the eye, as they clear the conditions on their way to stakes level competition.

In Claiming races, barring the aforementioned presence of Allowance droppers, three year olds climbing in class within their own age group will possess the highest Entelechy; but they can be expected to disappoint in the 3 years old and up races, due to a diminished Potential Existence against the older hard knockers.

Also late in the year, three year old Claiming horses may compete in Allowance races and some do win; but their Potential Existence will be in the negative when the talented horses moving through the conditions are present.  The improving Allowance horses will win no matter if the Claiming horses own better speed figures.  Only when the race lacks genuine Allowance contenders, then, Claiming horses with recent wins at higher claiming class levels will own the highest Potential Existence.

Moreover in fall, Potential Existence goes through the roof for the up and coming three year olds which have cleared their basic conditions.  These horses can be considered legitimate stakes contenders when they fulfill the requirements in terms of Class, Speed, Pace and Current Form; of their rivals in stakes races for three years old and up.

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A Thoroughbred Race Horse Ready to Fulfill its Potential Existence

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at Santa Anita Park
Lightly Raced Four Year Olds

Any discussion regarding the Unknown Handicapping Factors (Entelechy) and thoroughbred race horses which, for whatever reason may not have their full capability on display within the handicapper's view; must include the lightly raced four year old race horse.

A thoroughbred race horse will reach the peak of its physical development, somewhere around the age of four and a half years old.

When analyzing the past performances of a race horse, handicappers want to know how fast the horse has run, the class of horses it has defeated, the level of pace it can comfortably sustain; and which part of its form cycle the horse is in currently.

In more specific handicapping terms, when examining the past performances of a four year old running in a $32,000 Claimer, with 15 races under its belt; perhaps boasting recent wins at the $40,000 and $50,000 Claiming levels, while having posted a string of consecutive losses at the N1X Allowance level.  Chances are this horse has found its friends.

However, the situation changes when a four year old, having run just three races, shows up in an N1X Allowance race, after winning against straight Maidens on the third attempt last year.

In the case of such a horse, which continues to develop, having yet to express its Potential Existence; careful review of its past performances will merely reveal answers to the fundamental handicapping questions, in terms of its accomplishments as a three year old.

In other cases, observant handicappers will recognize patterns, often when these lightly raced horses achieve a lifetime best Beyer speed figure, they will run back to the figure in the next race; thus displaying the paired Beyer pattern in the past performances.  When this occurs it can be a signal that significant improvement may be forthcoming and Potential Existence for the next race would therefore improve accordingly.

Moreover, since the trainers of mature thoroughbred race horses frequently maneuver them up, down and around the class ladder; entering horses in races which they do not intend to try and win, or in which they cannot win.  Often will be the case, when the lightly raced four year old thoroughbred offers the attractive upside of a horse ready to fulfill its Potential Existence.

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The Science of Patience

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at the Great Race Place
Recurring Angles

"La paciencia es una ciencia" (Patience is a science)

Inocente Montes de Oca

Indeed, a common virtue to all winning horse players is the ability to wait for the right opportunities to cash well paid wagers.  Trainers are no different, thoroughbred horse racing is a business in which horsemen are paid a percentage of the purse moneys which their horses earn; but many have been known to garner a healthy sum, cashing a winning wager on a fit, sharp race horse that was ready to win.

Since horses have different strengths and weaknesses, in order to achieve the ultimate goal, that is, to take down 60% of available purse monies; in training and racing thoroughbreds, conditioners employ varied methods and procedures.

Thus an authentic thoroughbred horse race handicapping angle will be closely tied to a trainers methods and more importantly timing.  At times, the past performances of a horse, leading up to a winning effort can reveal the handicapping angle; sometimes a trainer's procedure will be designed to increase the future odds of a fit and sharp race horse.

As referred to in the context of Entelechy (The Unknown Handicapping Factors), or in more specific handicapping terms, Potential Existence as a means of quantifying a thoroughbred horse race handicapping angle.

Whereupon evaluation of the Class, Breeding, Speed, Pace and Current Form of an entry in relation to the surface, distance, impost and level of competition (visible information in the past performances); the angle suggests a specific "unknown" advantage and is therefore quantified as a boost in Win Probability or True Class Today.

Therefore, since most legitimate handicapping angles will be based on knowledge of thoroughbred race horse training methods, as well as on a given conditioner's specific habbits, procedures and record of performance; at times they can be used effectively to reveal fit, sharp, well meant horses which may be displaying poor form or dull running lines in their recent past performances by design.

So engineered, not necessarily to decieve or defraud, but rather, as a matter of the natural unfolding course of the particular training and racing regimen; which the trainer is in the process of implementing, based upon the individual strengths, weaknesses and preferences of the specific race horse in question.

"There is enough natural inconsistency in horse racing without having it forced upon the public by unscrupulous men, yet there is not one-tenth of one per cent, as much crookedness on the turf as it is given credit for.  The less one thinks of crookedness and trickery in racing the more successful will be his handicapping.  Look for defect in your own calculating rather than cheating of others.  Learn to finance your money to advantage.  Know when to put a good bet down and when not to."

Pittsburgh Phil

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True Class Today

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at Santa Anita Park

Algorithms assign numerical ratings for the Primary, Secondary and Unknown Handicapping Factors.  A raw probability rating, weighted for the specific race type and conditions, is then calculated from these data and adjusted for the racetrack takeout; thereby producing the contender's adjusted win probability rating and fair odds; since it was calculated in relation to the specific group of horses assembled for this race today, we call the rating "True Class Today".

We attempt to quantify Thoroughbred Class by evaluating each Primary Factor independently (rating), in relationship to all factors (weighting); insofar as they contribute to the horse's Class (estimating). The resulting numerical value attributed to each horse represents our best attempt to estimate its probability of winning, based upon Class, Breeding, Speed, ability to sustain a Pace and Current Form; as influenced by the Secondary and Unknown Handicapping Factors.

Akin to a major league baseball player's batting average, it represents the probability of winning this race today.  Thus, a horse with a "True Class Today" rating of 245 is estimated to have a 24.5% probability of winning today, its raw odds are 3:1 and its Fair Odds will be 4:1 or greater. CU@the$window!

 

The Realm of Gambling

Thoroughbred Horse Racing at The Great Race Place Santa Anita Park

oddsboard

A whole lot of people got to get up real early and do a whole lot of work so I could place that wager, it's about connecting to those winning energy currents that begin to peak early in the morning on race day and buzz all around us like a whirling dynamo by post time; and that's a dynamic process.

The Law of Large Numbers

Wagering on thoroughbred horse races is a thinking person's game, one in which the players who apply skill with discipline can expect to make a profit.  This is due to one of the principles of probability, referred to as the Law of Large Numbers; which provides that despite extended streaks one way or another, the frequency of events with the same likelihood of occurrence will even out over time, reverting to an expected value with enough trials or instances.

Think of a coin flip, with a 50% probability it could land heads and 50% probability it may be tails.  If one were to flip the coin eight times per day for a year, it's possible that heads might appear eight times in a row some day, in fact, heads might appear eight times in a row for eight days in a row; however, the Law of Large Numbers states that approaching (365 x 8 = 2,920) flips of the coin, the results will tend towards a point of equilibrium (1,460 heads and 1,460 tails).

The principle, exploited by casinos all over the world to generate billions of dollars per year, ensures that in the long run the house always wins; as it guarantees stable long-term results for the averages of random events.  For example, if a game of roulette pays at 35:1 odds, yet there are 37 possible events for players to wager upon; then the house owns an advantage of 2/37, which translates to around 5.40%.

Consequently, even if the casino loses money on a single spin of the wheel, its earnings will move towards a predictable percentage over time with every spin.  The parameters of the game will overcome any winning streak and at the end of the year, the casino can expect to earn no less than 5.40% of its roulette handle in profit.

Similarly, a horse player can employ the Law of Large Numbers to some advantage over time but in order to be successful, the player must be in possession of:

1) Reliable information as to the true win probability of each horse in every race;

2) An effective wagering plan designed to build a bankroll by placing strictly WIN bets;

3) A tangible advantage to capitalize on over the long term;

Then, simply play the legitimate win contender with the highest win probability in every race, bet to WIN, whenever said contender is offered on the tote board at overlaid odds, fair odds, or odds greater than the wager bifurcation point; in the alternative, whenever a contender's odds reach the bifurcation point, pass the race.

The Favorite-Longshot Bias

Betting odds provide biased estimates as to the probability of a horse winning.  In other words, every day at thoroughbred racetracks all over America, longshots are systematically overbet while favorites are consistently underbet.

Known as the favorite-longshot bias, studies have attributed this tendency to bet against the favorite, which is common among public bettors; to either risk lovers or those who are simply incorrectly informed as to the true win probability of a horse.

This well documented empirical fact represents an important deviation because it creates a margin of error between the true probability of a horse winning and the win probability estimated by crowd consensus as reflected by the odds on the tote board.  The consensus of the crowd is to some degree in error when it comes to win probability, and this creates an opportunity for a skilled player to capitalize on that mistake; with methodical play, rigorous discipline and a well thought out plan, utilizing the Law of Large Numbers to create wealth over time in the same manner as casinos.

Data Driven Decision Making

Probability theory is essential to activities involving quantitative analysis of data and complex systems given only partial knowledge of their state, such as in a horse race.

Subjective Probability

The win probability reflected by the odds on the tote board is of a subjective nature, which is to say, the collective decision making process involved in reaching the equilibrium point of public concensus is largeley heuristic (human).  Wherein a great majority of players may utilize some method of data analysis, yet the decision is largely based on a person's estimate or intuition; for instance, a belief that since the favorite has won in the last three races, a longshot must win this race (the gambler's fallacy).

Objective Probability

By contrast, objective probabilities are a more accurate way to determine the probability of a given outcome, the decision making process is based upon recorded observations or a history of collected data.  Accomplished by establishing some prior probability, which is then updated to a posterior probability in the light of new, relevant data; broadly speaking, an objective view that probability can be interpreted as an extension of logic.  An objective probability will examine past data and use mathematical equations involving the data to determine the likelihood of an event.

We refer to the method described herein for wagering on horse races as parimutuel investment for two reasons:

(1) The decision making process is non-hueristic, but rather, based upon an objective probability which is supported by the data.  An algorithmset determines the contender with the highest probability of winning together with its fair odds and wager bifurcation point.  The player either bets to WIN at odds which are greater than the bifurcation point, or else, passes any race in which the odds reach the bifurcation point; the human element is effectively replaced with a random (stochastic) process.

(2) A spin of the wheel is inconsequential.  Allowing the data to decide provides many advantages but most importantly, it removes the speculation, thus carrying the player out of the gambling realm; into a paradigm where objective probability tends toward an expected value or point of equilibrium.  The player is no longer concerned about the outcome of any single race, methodically playing the most probable winner in every race; to attain an expected rate of return, as the probabilities converge to their expected value over time. 

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Totalizator Board

Thoroughbred Racing at the Great Race Place
THE QUESTION: To Bet or Not to Bet

The tote board is a random self organizing system that comes alive as it channels the crowd's energy, armed with knowledge of the Fair Odds (after the racetrack takeout) for each horse in the race; horses offering overlaid odds are readily identified.

Playing overlays is the name of the game and it's a dynamic process, the tote board is alive right up until the start of the race and even while the race is running as the on-line wagers are closed, accounted for and aggregated to the pool.  Thus in order to be as certain as possible about the price of an overlay on the tote board, horse players should place wagers as late as possible, one or two minutes prior to post time.

Due to the late action on the tote board, at times an overlay will be borderline and may not end up as an overlay.  If there's any chance the odds will come down to the point where your WIN ticket will not be a play on overlay, it is best to either abandon the play in favor of another "possible overlay" or pass.

Also keep in mind that a favorite can go beyond the wager bifurccation point in the same way.  Likewise, if there is a chance that a play might go beyond the bifurcation point after you purchase the ticket, then it's better to pass the race; one should not force it and hope for the best, there are too many races.  Strike rate, strike rate, strike rate, when in doubt pass the race; keeping a higher strike rate will maximize long term profit.

New fans, just remember the overlay selection process, always play the overlaid WIN contender with the highest TRUECLASS-TODAY rating; because that will be the one with the highest probability of winning.

CU@the$window!

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